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The Fed is on hold, real interest rates are stable and, most important, the dollar appears contained, with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) stuck in a range for the past six months.To the extent that the Fed remains on hold, while the European Central Bank and the Peopleâs Bank of China are attempting to stimulate their respective economies, this creates an ideal regime for emerging-market assets.
We worry that a China growth slowdown has the capacity to offset any U.S. or euro zone recovery, while liquidity is likely to be reined back in the U.S. as the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy and in the euro zone with tapering by the European Central Bank.If global growth slows, then interest rate expectations may have run ahead of themselves, making shorter-dated Treasuries attractive. India’s stock market, which is severely lagging most global markets this year, has become a source of investment ideas for our clients. While trade issues have faded in recent weeks, fundamental tensions with China havenât been resolved.
And once you pay off the debt, you’ll have that much more cash flow to put into some of the other investments on this list.This investment may seem like stating the obvious, but there are some dismal statistics on retirement savings that make it worth emphasizing. The need for higher oil prices should also favor the oil majors. As measured by the S&P 500 index, theYou’ll certainly want to keep a significant portion of your portfolio in the market, particularly in an index fund tied the S&P 500. This is based on increased future earnings levels and expanding growth rates, as well as current and projected demographic trends such as overall population growth, immigration and emigration projections, and workforce characteristics.While a âno dealâ Brexit is not yet entirely removed as a risk, as we enter 2020 we believe it is of very low intensity and not a large impediment to the valuation opportunities in U.K. equities and the pound. Often, you can also just have it add to the value of your CD, allowing you to claim that much more at the CD's maturity.Some larger brokerage firms now allow customers to buy CDs in their brokerage or retirement accounts, such as in a Rollover or Another popular way to generate interest on savings is by investing in money market accounts or funds.Money market accounts are FDIC insured, and tend to pay higher interest rates than a regular savings or deposit account, but they have limits on withdrawals.As you can see, there are a couple of options open to you to start investing even at your local bank. An active manager can guide a portfolio more effectively than a benchmark that is required to hold the best and the worst securities. Europe also scores much better on dividend income.  If you feel that you must invest some of your $10,000 in equities, then stay in the U.S. market, rather than more risky international stocks, but stick to the bond-sensitive sectors such as utilities. However, the one thing that does go up in a recession is equity volatility, so getting some protection from this source could be a good hedge for your portfolio.These super-defensive suggestions may sound extreme. But the oil majors, especially the Europeans, will likely experience enough upstream production in 2020 to accelerate their revenue growth.Meanwhile, Iran sanctions may shrink global supply by 1.8 million barrels per day. If that’s not your primary objective, then the process of investing can turn into a pure money chase. As my colleague Rick Rieder has suggested, this may even involve the eventual purchase of equities, as the Bank of Japan has been doing for years.The bottom line: Europe has its challenges, but also some fairly consequential tailwinds.With stocks up about 16 percent year-to-date, and more than 20 percent from the December 2018 low, investors could be forgiven for believing there are no bargains left.In the U.S., for example, multiple expansionâi.e., what an investor is willing to pay for a dollar of earningsâhas left large-cap U.S. equities about 15 percent more expensive than they were at the end of 2018. You may even be able to learn Whatever direction you take, it will require an investment of time, effort, and yes, a certain amount of money.
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